Ten to fifteen percent. That's about how many traders pass a futures prop firm evaluation on the first try. The other 85% mostly don't fail because their strategy was broken. They fail because they couldn't sit still.
We coach a lot of traders through the funded path at Hawai‘i Trading Academy, and the pattern is almost boring at this point. The chart is rarely the problem. The person holding the mouse is.
Look at where evaluations die. Industry data from firms tracking hundreds of thousands of accounts puts roughly 70% of failures on one cause: a blown loss limit. A daily loss cap breached. A trailing drawdown tripped. Not a bad signal — a bad decision made in a bad emotional state.
That's the whole point. A drawdown breach isn't a strategy error. It's an emotional one. And emotions in an eval come in four flavors: fear, greed, hope, and regret. Each one breaks a different rule.
Fear shows up as he...